Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 3.615716 3.845752 4.092772 4.379540 4.705614 5.067720 5.504368
2025-03-30 3.274225 3.582668 3.932454 4.364534 4.892905 5.530876 6.381255
2025-04-06 2.980290 3.331160 3.746088 4.284965 4.986156 5.900069 7.245992
2025-04-13 2.710169 3.077626 3.526205 4.132255 4.962383 6.119405 7.992940
2025-04-20 2.577204 2.977184 3.482823 4.197398 5.237969 6.817165 9.735672
2025-04-27 2.467179 2.894269 3.451691 4.273773 5.546194 7.661359 12.244734
2025-05-04 2.398669 2.858035 3.477593 4.433871 6.019078 8.963530 16.965445
2025-05-11 2.306555 2.781490 3.438745 4.491360 6.341439 10.151210 23.517732
2025-05-18 2.207282 2.686810 3.364030 4.481583 6.545583 11.216765 33.159777
2025-05-25 2.077523 2.540498 3.200936 4.307357 6.404031 11.402120 39.973888
2025-06-01 1.985620 2.442318 3.102215 4.229556 6.440074 12.105363 57.666536
2025-06-08 1.906937 2.358346 3.018512 4.167563 6.497371 12.935412 98.617450
2025-06-15 1.843828 2.300124 2.980467 4.201355 6.821405 15.140924 17068.632837
2025-06-22 1.772935 2.226577 2.913271 4.176032 7.017273 17.280853 NaN
2025-06-29 1.696904 2.141289 2.821298 4.094236 7.062315 18.992388 NaN
2025-07-06 1.615011 2.043150 2.702120 3.947647 6.909790 19.595730 NaN
2025-07-13 1.576866 2.009467 2.686522 4.002820 7.325243 24.940508 NaN
2025-07-20 1.543288 1.980738 2.676774 4.069079 7.812424 33.984305 NaN
2025-07-27 1.523881 1.972742 2.701469 4.212152 8.629145 59.849233 NaN
2025-08-03 1.491476 1.942223 2.684293 4.262104 9.175884 113.614021 NaN
2025-08-10 1.452945 1.899853 2.642841 4.251457 9.502858 263.477827 NaN
2025-08-17 1.397001 1.827016 2.542212 4.091842 9.160961 267.528617 NaN
2025-08-24 1.356303 1.777408 2.481204 4.020078 9.178486 680.290858 NaN